Navigating Thanksgiving Week: Comprehensive Weather Outlook and Travel Guidance

Written by MarcAnthony Ramos, Cameron Petrusevski, Shannon Brady

Last updated 11/21/2023, 12:10:27 PM

Thanksgiving week is already here and with that comes tons of travel as the TSA expects to screen 30 million people from last Friday to Tuesday, Nov 28th. Not only do we have people taking to the skies during this holiday, but so many are hitting the roads as well with AAA predicting over 55 million Americans will travel at least 50 miles from their home over the long holiday weekend. Meteorologists are tracking a number of low pressure systems that are forecasted to affect much of the country’s weather this week. Large cold fronts attached to the systems are expected to bring colder temperatures, thunderstorms and rain, with a potential for snow in some areas. By Thanksgiving weekend, they will have made their way into the Atlantic, and drier and clearer conditions will be more widespread in these areas. In a world where millions of civilians are traveling by land, sea, or air, the weather is of the utmost importance this holiday weekend. Almost 60 million people call the Northeastern United States home, near 20% of the US population, so how does this important week look like for the region? Which hubs could be affected? And while we’re at it, what does the long-range forecast for the area look like? We’ll hit across all of these points later. 

While the weather across the Northeast is pretty tranquil currently to start off the holiday week, that is not the case down in the South. Down in Louisiana, rainfall estimates of 1-2” across a wide swath of north-central parts of the state can occur, cells that have prompted severe thunderstorm warnings across the state multiple times today. This weather system stretches the vertical length of the nation and traces of the moisture can be found as north as the Twin Cities in Minnesota. While the swirling low pressure moves northeastward, it will drag the moisture into our region later in the day on Tuesday, perhaps impacting the evening rush or travel going on within that time frame ahead of a cold front. The rain can start in the mid morning hours around Western PA like Pittsburgh, noontime in places like Western New York, Baltimore, DC, soon after in Philadelphia, and approaching the NY Metro Area closer to the evening rush with the rain reaching Boston closer to midnight and into the wee hours of Wednesday morning. The National Weather Service has issued a winter weather advisory out of the Burlington, VT weather forecasting office in effect from Tuesday at 4pm through Wednesday at 1 pm EST.